Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.005354 0.005916 0.006525 0.007237 0.008048 0.008947 0.010023
2025-08-10 0.004387 0.005144 0.006029 0.007149 0.008540 0.010229 0.012461
2025-08-17 0.003890 0.004742 0.005787 0.007183 0.009025 0.011413 0.014811
2025-08-24 0.003487 0.004378 0.005514 0.007097 0.009289 0.012289 0.016828
2025-08-31 0.003129 0.004022 0.005196 0.006889 0.009331 0.012826 0.018407
2025-09-07 0.002902 0.003811 0.005041 0.006873 0.009616 0.013718 0.020620
2025-09-14 0.002781 0.003731 0.005051 0.007081 0.010239 0.015177 0.023956
2025-09-21 0.002582 0.003521 0.004854 0.006958 0.010331 0.015801 0.025978
2025-09-28 0.002405 0.003327 0.004663 0.006819 0.010375 0.016338 0.027919
2025-10-05 0.002280 0.003200 0.004558 0.006802 0.010609 0.017217 0.030638
2025-10-12 0.002201 0.003136 0.004543 0.006924 0.011085 0.018578 0.034553
2025-10-19 0.002098 0.003026 0.004447 0.006901 0.011300 0.019482 0.037692
2025-10-26 0.002002 0.002926 0.004367 0.006911 0.011602 0.020640 0.041754
2025-11-02 0.001895 0.002803 0.004243 0.006836 0.011741 0.021510 0.045401
2025-11-09 0.001819 0.002725 0.004184 0.006868 0.012085 0.022847 0.050514
2025-11-16 0.001730 0.002617 0.004069 0.006786 0.012195 0.023697 0.054604
2025-11-23 0.001627 0.002483 0.003900 0.006590 0.012048 0.023957 0.057172
2025-11-30 0.001564 0.002410 0.003830 0.006575 0.012273 0.025098 0.062557
2025-12-07 0.001538 0.002400 0.003870 0.006771 0.012971 0.027477 0.072412
2025-12-14 0.001467 0.002307 0.003755 0.006655 0.012969 0.028136 0.077050
2025-12-21 0.001399 0.002215 0.003638 0.006524 0.012920 0.028668 0.081454
2025-12-28 0.001351 0.002158 0.003579 0.006507 0.013133 0.029923 0.088853
2026-01-04 0.001324 0.002135 0.003585 0.006623 0.013668 0.032151 0.100775